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Hill has an ADP over 200 going off the board as the 16th 2B selected in redrafts which is too low given the Home Run, Runs and RBI production he's likely to provide with a full year batting second in Arizona in a potent Diamondback lineup (yes - they outscored both the Phillies and Brewers last year). Did we mention he had 22 stolen bases last year too?
It's impossible to predict which Aaron Hill you'll get year-to-year - the masher or the runner - but if you just look at his 3 year averages of 78/23/89/9/.249 you can bank on netting a profit regardless. Those numbers are remarkably similar to that of Ben Zobrist, only at a 150+ pick discount.
His plummeting value is likely a result of former Hill owners being burned in the past, take advantage and pounce for an incredibly cheaper middle infield flier. If you draft accordingly beforehand you can withstand the batting average issues and enjoy the 4 category goodness. |
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